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Is a bull market forming for crypto? Last week's price action didn't move in a straight line: Bitcoin held its ground while Solana cooled after a bullish vote, Ether worked back toward a level it lost in January, and XRP eased off its own run higher. That's more optimism than the summer earned, but it isn't proof of a turn yet – whether it becomes one comes down, mostly, to the Fed, at least for now. Worth inspecting first: where each of these assets actually sits, and what could still provide the next leg up. Bitcoin – holding on to gains: BlackRock's Robbie Mitchnick frames the rally – helped along by the Treasury's bond buybacks and talk of a government Bitcoin purchase – as Bitcoin's "risk-off" narrative reasserting itself, a fiscal-hedge trade rather than pure risk appetite. That matters more than the $81,455 high. CryptoQuant still wants a close above $83,100 before calling this an "official" bull phase, and some holders have already booked $1.2 billion in gains – a reminder the move is due a breather. What that means for Bitcoin's longer-term price targets gets its own space later in this issue.